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Welcome to March Madness, the month where the weather is just as confused as everyone filling out their NCAA Division 1 basketball tournament brackets.

Just remember, no one is an expert when it comes to selecting these things.

The odds of filling out a perfect bracket are one in 2.4 trillion, according to Duke University math professor Jonathan Mattingly in a report published by USA Today in March 2015.

You have a better chance of winning the lottery on a scratch ticket than predicting how a bunch of college kids are going to perform in a tournament.

Just take a look at the field: it’s littered with its usual suspects: North Carolina, Duke, Kentucky, Kansas and Michigan State, but we cannot forget about the schools from smaller conferences. Once you do, they’ll swoop in and steal the spotlight.

Yes, I am talking about the mid-major schools who could send your perfect bracket into a tailspin that not even the Blue Angels could steer out of.

Like when No. 14 Northeastern put a scare into No. 3 Notre Dame last season only to lose 69-65. Or, when Georgia State knocked out Baylor in the first round — a team that many had advancing to the final four.

The point is, no one is an expert.

Not you, not your best friend Rocco, no one. What many fail to remember is that the players are 18- to 21-year-olds. Sometimes the long road trip and pressure of playing in front of a big crowd gets to players from smaller schools. But, with any tournament, no matter what the level of play is, it is the unfamiliarity with an opponent that can be a decisive factor in the equation.

Sometimes not knowing what a team’s tendencies are can be a good thing psychologically. Especially if you are a No. 16 seed playing the No. 1 seed. You know the opponent that you’re up against is very good, but what can you do to adjust on the fly?

While listening to a sports talk show on Fox Sports Radio, I heard one of the announcers say that he does not fill out his brackets by college name. He does it by head coach.

That’s the X-factor when it comes to the NCAA Tournament; how well can a team’s coach adapt to the pressure of having an unfamiliar opponent on a neutral court?

A prime example of this is with now Boston Celtics head coach Brad Stevens, who led the Butler University Bulldogs to two straight NCAA national championship games. Stevens is a coach that can take whatever personnel he has and morph them into a contender.

See the 2015-16 Boston Celtics.

No one could have predicted the strong season Boston is having. The players are all elite at the Division 1 level and so are the coaches.

Some of these kids may trade in a free shot at a college education to sign a multi-million-dollar NBA contract. Seton Hall just might be my favorite non big name team in the tournament. You might be thinking: “Ed, Seton Hall is no mid-major.” In terms of conferences, yes, that’s true. But in terms of success, the Pirates have not exactly been bringing home the postseason booty.

Seton Hall last appeared in the NCAA Tournament in 2006 and was blasted by Wichita State, 86-66, in the opening round. From what I have seen of Seton Hall games this season, this team is good. And its star guard Isaiah Whitehead is the Real McCoy.

Whitehead led the Pirates to a come-from-behind Big East Championship win over Villanova. Seton Hall is seeded sixth and will play Gonzaga in the opening round.

And then there is the feel good story of the tournament: Holy Cross. Worcester’s own has not made the tournament since 2007, but that is not stopping Holy Cross fans’ pride surrounding this team.

After sounding off four straight wins to defeat LeHigh on the road in the Patriot League title game, the Crusaders are in the big dance. Well, kind of. Holy Cross would have to beat Southern in a First Four play-in game at the University of Dayton Wednesday. But still a great accomplishment, indeed, for a gutsy Holy Cross team with a losing record of 14-19 and 9th in the Patriot League.

Call dibs on the comfy chair now, because the next few weeks are going to be spent parked in front of the television watching basketball.

Let the games begin.

Follow Ed Niser on Twitter/Tout: @EdNiser.

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